forex trading outlook week september 5 2011 : currency market outlook week september 5 2011 : While the market keeps mulling over the dismal U.S. employment report after the long weekend, the Labor Day holiday-shortened week ahead will spice things up in the currency world with five interest rate announcements from major central banks as traders turn their attention to the euro and gauge the odds for the European Central Bank to abandon its hawkish stance and to discontinue its campaign of rate hikes.
In preparation for the new trading week, here is a list of the Top 10 spotlight economic events that will move the markets around the globe.
1. AUD- Reserve Bank of Australia Interest Rate Announcement, Tues., Sep. 6, 12:30 am, ET.
Just until a few weeks ago, the market was pricing a Reserve Bank of Australia rate cut, but following the RBA Governor’s recent statement that “inflation bears careful watching” and that the global economic situation “is not that bad” these expectations have changed. While the Reserve Bank of Australia would not be likely to make any changes to its current monetary policy and is forecast to keep the benchmark rate at 4.75%, if the statement following the monetary policy meeting echoes the RBA Governor’s optimistic outlook, the Aussie dollar could see an opportunity to resume its upward trend against the greenback.
2. CHF- Swiss CPI- Consumer Price Index, the main measure of inflation preferred by the Swiss National Bank, Tues., Sep. 6, 3:15 am, ET.
The record high Swiss franc is not only bad for the economy but it is also deflationary. Should the inflation gauge head lower again, this could give the Swiss National Bank another reason to step up efforts to curb the strength of its currency. The Swiss CPI declined 0.8% m/m in July bringing the annual rate to 0.5% y/y from 0.6% y/y in June and it is forecast to see another 0.1% m/m drop in August.
3. EUR- Euro-zone GDP- Gross Domestic Product, the main measure of economic activity and growth, Tues., Sep. 6, 5:00 am, ET.
The revised reading of the Euro-zone GDP is expected to confirm the preliminary estimate that economic growth was four times slower at 0.2 % q/q in the second quarter of 2011, compared with 0.8% q/q in Q1 2011.
4. USD- U.S. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index, a leading indicator of economic conditions in the services industries: agriculture, mining, construction, transportation, communications, wholesale trade and retail trade, Tues., Sep. 6, 10:00 am, ET.
As the ISM Manufacturing PMI surprisingly held above 50 in August, activity in the U.S. services industries is forecast to follow suit and expand for another month with an ISM index reading of 51.5 in August, down from 52.7 in July.
5. AUD- Australia GDP- Gross Domestic Product, the main measure of economic activity and growth, Tues., Sep. 6, 9:30 pm, ET.
Hit by massive floods, the Australian economy unexpectedly shrunk by 1.2% q/q in the first quarter of 2011 from 0.8% q/q in Q4 2010, but is expected to recover and grow by 1.0% q/q in the second quarter of 2011. A return to growth could keep the higher-yielding Australian dollar well bid, especially if risk appetite makes a comeback.
6. JPY- Bank of Japan Interest Rate Announcement, Wed., Sep. 7, around 12:00 am, ET.
The Bank of Japan is not expected to make any drastic changes to its monetary policy, keeping the benchmark rate at its record low level of 0.10%. However, with the dollar lingering near post WWII lows against the yen, it would not be surprising to see the Bank of Japan reassuring the markets of its commitment to do whatever is necessary in order to prevent any rapid yen appreciation.
7. CAD- Bank of Canada Interest Rate Announcement, Wed., Sep. 7, 9:00 am, ET.
Perhaps the least interesting of the five central bank announcements next week, the Bank of Canada’s meting could end up being a formality with consensus forecasts anticipating policy makers to maintain the status quo, while expressing concerns about the negative impact of the deteriorating economic conditions in the U.S. which is Canada’s largest trading partner. It would be a shocker (and a Canadian dollar negative), but there might be some chance that the Bank of Canada warns that further U.S., Canadian and global economic slowdown could warrant a rate cut in the near future.
8. AUD- Australia Employment Situation and Unemployment Rate, the main gauge of employment trends and labor market conditions, Wed., Sep. 7, 9:30 pm, ET.
The third major spotlight event from “down under” next week could give the Aussie dollar an additional boost with the Australian economy forecast to recover from the 100 jobs lost in July by adding up to 10,400 new jobs in August, while the unemployment rate remains unchanged at 5.1%.
9. GBP- Bank of England Interest Rate Announcement, Thurs., Sep. 8, 7:00 am, ET.
The latest unanimous vote by the Monetary Policy Committee to keep the benchmark rate at the low 0.50% level has made it clear that the Bank of England does not see any urgency to raise interest rates and the September meeting is likely to bring more of the same. A passive Bank of England expected to sit on the sidelines for another month could contribute to the case for GBP weakness ahead of the BOE meeting and possibly even after that if the bank announces or opens the door to an expansion of its Asset Purchases Program. On the other hand, if the bank of England refrains from additional quantitative easing, when the market rout and the risk aversion dust settles, the GBP could begin to be viewed as a less ugly alternative to the USD and the EUR.
10. EUR- European Central Bank Interest Rate Announcement, Thurs., Sep. 8, 7:45 am, ET.
With the Euro-zone economy slowing and inflationary pressures subsiding, the EUR could see selling pressures mounting ahead of the European Central Bank's meeting as the market shifts its expectations for another rate hike by the end of the year and begins to more aggressively price a potential rate cut in the near future. A dovish ECB statement, coupled with fears that Greece would miss its budget deficit targets for the year which might move the country one step closer to exiting the monetary union, could continue to weigh on the single currency next week. Source www.fxstreet.com...
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Saturday, September 3, 2011
USD/JPY Technical Analysis forecast week september 5 2011
USD/JPY Technical Analysis forecast week september 5 2011 : Dollar/yen remained range bound. Will it make a move, now that there’s a new government in Tokyo? The rate decision and BOJ Press Conference are the main events this week. Here’s an outlook for the Japanese events and an updated technical analysis for USD/JPY.
Last week readings showed improvement in household spending, Average cash earnings, total domestic currency in circulation and housing starts. However retail sales gained 0.7% less than the 1.1% rise predicted, and preliminary industrial production increased by 0.6%, below the 1.6% expected. Nevertheless these figures show a clear trend of recovery at a
1. Rate decision: Wednesday. The Bank of Japan maintained its overnight call rate at a range of 0 to 0.1% by a unanimous vote but decided to increase the total size of the Asset Purchase Program by 10 trillion yen to 50 trillion yen claiming further easing steps are required to heal the economy. The Bank is forecasting real GDP growth of 0.2-0.6% in fiscal 2011, and 2.5-3.0% in fiscal 2012. No changes are expected.
2. Leading Indicators: Wednesday, 5:00. Japan’s index of economic indicators increased by 2.5 points in June reaching 103.2 from99.4 inthe previous month indicating an improvement in the Japanese economy as it combines indicators from the job market, consumer sentiment and future economic conditions. An increase to 105.9 is predicted.
3. Core Machinery Orders: Wednesday, 23:50. Japan’s core machinery orders leaped by 7.7% in June following 3.0% in the previous month indicating capital spending will increase in the coming months. A decrease of 3.7% is forecasted now.
4. Economy Watchers Sentiment: Thursday, 5:00.Japan’s business watchers sentiment was less optimistic in July dropping 0.5 points from49.0 in June to 48.5. However they were positive about current conditions, showing a 3.0 point increase from49.6 in June to52.6 in July. The drop indicates worries about global financial crisis that may affect future conditions nut the positive reading reflects certainty inJapan’s recovery from the earthquake and tsunami. Expansion to 54.3 is foreseen.
5. Final GDP: Thursday, 23:50.Japan’s real gross domestic product contracted by 0.9% in the first quarter as predicted. However, compared to a year earlier, GDP decreased by 3.5. Personal consumption dropped by 0.1% and global demand was reduced by 0.8 percentage point. Although the manufacturing sector is expected to rise dramatically in July-September there are worries about sovereign debt crisis arising from the strong yen. Further contraction of 0.5% is expected.
6. Household Confidence: Friday, 5:00. Japanese consumer confidence improved further in July rising to 37.0 from a reading of35.3 in June. Although consumer confidence is still below the 50 point line indicating pessimism the trend upward signifies signs of real recovery in the market. An increase to 41.3 is forecasted.
USD/JPY Technical Analysis
Dollar/yen traded between the 77 and 76.40 lines (discussed last week) before making a limited move above 77 and eventually closed at 76.76 – very range bound.
Technical lines from top to bottom
81,50 was a peak before the recent leg down and has a significant role. 81.06 was a weak line of support in May and slowed down a second move upwards.
80.50 held the pair several times recently and remains a strong and immediate line of resistance on another attempt to settle above 80. The round number of 80 was broken, but this was short lived, and its strength remains.
79.75 is the historic low of 1995 and played a critical role when the pair collapsed in March. It is now a minor line, after being run through. Below, 79.30 proved to be a persistent cap for dollar/yen, holding down recovery attempts. also just now. An attempt to break higher resulted in another downwards leg.
78.50 provided some support before another drop, and is now a weak line of resistance. Further down, 78.20 worked as temporary resistance, and has the same role now.
77.50 was the bottom border of the range, and is set to work as resistance if the pair breaks higher. The pair got close to this line, but didn’t really challenge it now. It is followed by 77, which was a significant cap for the range trading seen for yet another week.
Further below we have the swing record low of 76.25, which was seen on the huge collapse in March and was a bottom just now. The new low of 75.95 is the final frontier in charted territory. Below, the round number of 75 is the next potential cushion.
I am neutral on USD/JPY.
It seems like the Japanese authorities will not intervene unless the pair dives to 75. On the upside, the FOMC decision is awaited. Source www.forexcrunch.com
Last week readings showed improvement in household spending, Average cash earnings, total domestic currency in circulation and housing starts. However retail sales gained 0.7% less than the 1.1% rise predicted, and preliminary industrial production increased by 0.6%, below the 1.6% expected. Nevertheless these figures show a clear trend of recovery at a
1. Rate decision: Wednesday. The Bank of Japan maintained its overnight call rate at a range of 0 to 0.1% by a unanimous vote but decided to increase the total size of the Asset Purchase Program by 10 trillion yen to 50 trillion yen claiming further easing steps are required to heal the economy. The Bank is forecasting real GDP growth of 0.2-0.6% in fiscal 2011, and 2.5-3.0% in fiscal 2012. No changes are expected.
2. Leading Indicators: Wednesday, 5:00. Japan’s index of economic indicators increased by 2.5 points in June reaching 103.2 from99.4 inthe previous month indicating an improvement in the Japanese economy as it combines indicators from the job market, consumer sentiment and future economic conditions. An increase to 105.9 is predicted.
3. Core Machinery Orders: Wednesday, 23:50. Japan’s core machinery orders leaped by 7.7% in June following 3.0% in the previous month indicating capital spending will increase in the coming months. A decrease of 3.7% is forecasted now.
4. Economy Watchers Sentiment: Thursday, 5:00.Japan’s business watchers sentiment was less optimistic in July dropping 0.5 points from49.0 in June to 48.5. However they were positive about current conditions, showing a 3.0 point increase from49.6 in June to52.6 in July. The drop indicates worries about global financial crisis that may affect future conditions nut the positive reading reflects certainty inJapan’s recovery from the earthquake and tsunami. Expansion to 54.3 is foreseen.
5. Final GDP: Thursday, 23:50.Japan’s real gross domestic product contracted by 0.9% in the first quarter as predicted. However, compared to a year earlier, GDP decreased by 3.5. Personal consumption dropped by 0.1% and global demand was reduced by 0.8 percentage point. Although the manufacturing sector is expected to rise dramatically in July-September there are worries about sovereign debt crisis arising from the strong yen. Further contraction of 0.5% is expected.
6. Household Confidence: Friday, 5:00. Japanese consumer confidence improved further in July rising to 37.0 from a reading of35.3 in June. Although consumer confidence is still below the 50 point line indicating pessimism the trend upward signifies signs of real recovery in the market. An increase to 41.3 is forecasted.
USD/JPY Technical Analysis
Dollar/yen traded between the 77 and 76.40 lines (discussed last week) before making a limited move above 77 and eventually closed at 76.76 – very range bound.
Technical lines from top to bottom
81,50 was a peak before the recent leg down and has a significant role. 81.06 was a weak line of support in May and slowed down a second move upwards.
80.50 held the pair several times recently and remains a strong and immediate line of resistance on another attempt to settle above 80. The round number of 80 was broken, but this was short lived, and its strength remains.
79.75 is the historic low of 1995 and played a critical role when the pair collapsed in March. It is now a minor line, after being run through. Below, 79.30 proved to be a persistent cap for dollar/yen, holding down recovery attempts. also just now. An attempt to break higher resulted in another downwards leg.
78.50 provided some support before another drop, and is now a weak line of resistance. Further down, 78.20 worked as temporary resistance, and has the same role now.
77.50 was the bottom border of the range, and is set to work as resistance if the pair breaks higher. The pair got close to this line, but didn’t really challenge it now. It is followed by 77, which was a significant cap for the range trading seen for yet another week.
Further below we have the swing record low of 76.25, which was seen on the huge collapse in March and was a bottom just now. The new low of 75.95 is the final frontier in charted territory. Below, the round number of 75 is the next potential cushion.
I am neutral on USD/JPY.
It seems like the Japanese authorities will not intervene unless the pair dives to 75. On the upside, the FOMC decision is awaited. Source www.forexcrunch.com
EUR/USD Technical Analysis forecast week september 5 2011
EUR/USD Technical Analysis forecast week september 5 2011 ; Euro/dollar couldn’t break out of range and it ended the week 300 pips lower. Will it climb back within range or break lower? The upcoming week is very busy and consists of the rate decision among other events. Here is an outlook for these events, and an updated technical analysis for EUR/USD.
The now quarterly Greek debt crisis is with us again: Greece didn’t meet its obligations and the EU / IMF delegation left the country, with a senior IMF economist saying that a hard default is imminent. Also in the US, things look quite gloomy with zero jobs gained in August. This September isn’t going to be nice, but action is guaranteed.
1. Final Services PMI: Monday, 8:00. Revisions aren’t too common after the initial release. But after we’ve seen a serious downgrade in the manufacturing PMI, this event is of high importance. The initial read was 51.5 points, still in the growth zone.
2. Sentix Investor Confidence: Monday, 8:30. After a year in positive territory, this indicator dropped to -13.5 points. The negative number reflects pessimism among the 2800 analysts and investors surveyed here. A similar number is expected now.
3. Retail Sales: Monday, 9:00. This one is expected to be positive. After Germany has shown a nice rise in the volume of sales, the number for the whole region is expected to show growth for a second month in a row.
4. Revised GDP: Tuesday, 9:00. According to the initial flash release, the euro-zone grew by only 0.2% in Q2. After Germany’s slow growth of 0.1% was confirmed, this will likely be confirmed as well.
5. German Factory Orders: Tueday, 10:00. This part of the German economy is still doing very well. The last three months saw significant rises in factory orders, beating estimates. Last month’s 1.8% rise will likely be followed with a drop.
6. German Industrial Production: Wednesday, 10:00. Contrary to the previous and related indicator, industrial production disappointed with a drop of 1.1% last month. A small rise is expected this time.
7. German Trade Balance: Thursday, 6:00. While the euro zone has a deficit in its trade balance, Germany enjoys a wide surplus. This surplus has somewhat squeezed from a peak of 15.1 billion reported 4 months ago to 11.5 billion last month. A small rise is likely now.
8. Rate decision: Thursday, 11:45. Press conference at 12:30. No change is expected in the European Minimum Bid Rate, that currently stands at 1.50%. .It seems that Jean-Claude Trichet finally acknowledges the significant slowdown, but also the drop in inflation, especially core inflation. He mentioned that inflation expectations are “being studied”. He is expected to significantly lower his tone on inflation and say that the risks are balanced and uncertainty is high. The recent CPI Flash Estimate has show that the annual pace of inflation is at 2.5%. This is too high for signalling a rate cut, but not enough for tough talk. The euro will likely slide, although this is partially priced in.
9. French Industrial Production: Friday, 6:45. Europe’s second largest economy has seen a “see-saw” in industrial output. It dropped last month by 1.6%, and will likely tick up now.
EUR/USD Technical Analysis
Euro/dollar had a good start to the week and extended slightly extended the gains. From there it was all downhill: it gradually lost support, with 1.4220 (mentioned last week) being the final support line to fall.
Technical levels, from top to bottom
1.4775 is a significant line in high ground, after being pivotal when the pair traded there. 1.47 follows as a minor line.
1.4650 was a peak in the past and is minor resistance. The 1.4550 line was a peak just now, and has proven to be of high importance. After the pair reached this line, it fell. 1.4520 is now minor resistance below. It capped the euro for another week in a row, and also had a similar role in the past.
1.4480 worked as a cap to the pair just now, and also way back in the past. The round number of 1.44 served as a pivotal line, and is quite weak now.
After being a double bottom, 1.4330 is the next minor line. It switches positions to resistance. The peak of November 2010 at 1.4282 is is still with us as usual. This line works better as resistance than as support, and after it was lost, the pair fell quickly.
EUR/USD had a tough time breaking below 1.4220, which served as support in the past and is immediate resistance now. 1.4160 returned to having an important role in supporting the pair, despite being breached.
Moving lower, the round number of 1.41 provides stronger support now, after preventing a collapse. Just above the round number of 1.40, we find very important support at 1.4030 – it was successfully tested earlier in the summer.
Lower, 1.3950 was a pivotal line when the pair traded in lower ranges and proved that it is of high importance. After the comeback, this line was another clear support line. The bottom of 1.3838 will be closely watched in another fall. This was also a line of support last year. Below, 1.3750 is significant support, if the pair falls to a five month low.
Narrowing channel
Downtrend resistance begins at the end end of June and is quite moderate. Uptrend support begins from the swing low in July and is more sharp. The narrowing channel has been broken twice: once to the upside, but this was short lived. The pair finally closed below uptrend support – this is a bearish sign.
I remain bearish on EUR/USD.
With a fragile banking system and a very fragile Greece, euro/dollar has more room for falls. A break below the long term range depends a lot on the words of Trichet. If he remains stubborn, more choppy range trading can continue. Note that Monday is a holiday in the US, but afterwards, the markets will be fully active (source http://www.forexcrunch.com/
The now quarterly Greek debt crisis is with us again: Greece didn’t meet its obligations and the EU / IMF delegation left the country, with a senior IMF economist saying that a hard default is imminent. Also in the US, things look quite gloomy with zero jobs gained in August. This September isn’t going to be nice, but action is guaranteed.
1. Final Services PMI: Monday, 8:00. Revisions aren’t too common after the initial release. But after we’ve seen a serious downgrade in the manufacturing PMI, this event is of high importance. The initial read was 51.5 points, still in the growth zone.
2. Sentix Investor Confidence: Monday, 8:30. After a year in positive territory, this indicator dropped to -13.5 points. The negative number reflects pessimism among the 2800 analysts and investors surveyed here. A similar number is expected now.
3. Retail Sales: Monday, 9:00. This one is expected to be positive. After Germany has shown a nice rise in the volume of sales, the number for the whole region is expected to show growth for a second month in a row.
4. Revised GDP: Tuesday, 9:00. According to the initial flash release, the euro-zone grew by only 0.2% in Q2. After Germany’s slow growth of 0.1% was confirmed, this will likely be confirmed as well.
5. German Factory Orders: Tueday, 10:00. This part of the German economy is still doing very well. The last three months saw significant rises in factory orders, beating estimates. Last month’s 1.8% rise will likely be followed with a drop.
6. German Industrial Production: Wednesday, 10:00. Contrary to the previous and related indicator, industrial production disappointed with a drop of 1.1% last month. A small rise is expected this time.
7. German Trade Balance: Thursday, 6:00. While the euro zone has a deficit in its trade balance, Germany enjoys a wide surplus. This surplus has somewhat squeezed from a peak of 15.1 billion reported 4 months ago to 11.5 billion last month. A small rise is likely now.
8. Rate decision: Thursday, 11:45. Press conference at 12:30. No change is expected in the European Minimum Bid Rate, that currently stands at 1.50%. .It seems that Jean-Claude Trichet finally acknowledges the significant slowdown, but also the drop in inflation, especially core inflation. He mentioned that inflation expectations are “being studied”. He is expected to significantly lower his tone on inflation and say that the risks are balanced and uncertainty is high. The recent CPI Flash Estimate has show that the annual pace of inflation is at 2.5%. This is too high for signalling a rate cut, but not enough for tough talk. The euro will likely slide, although this is partially priced in.
9. French Industrial Production: Friday, 6:45. Europe’s second largest economy has seen a “see-saw” in industrial output. It dropped last month by 1.6%, and will likely tick up now.
EUR/USD Technical Analysis
Euro/dollar had a good start to the week and extended slightly extended the gains. From there it was all downhill: it gradually lost support, with 1.4220 (mentioned last week) being the final support line to fall.
Technical levels, from top to bottom
1.4775 is a significant line in high ground, after being pivotal when the pair traded there. 1.47 follows as a minor line.
1.4650 was a peak in the past and is minor resistance. The 1.4550 line was a peak just now, and has proven to be of high importance. After the pair reached this line, it fell. 1.4520 is now minor resistance below. It capped the euro for another week in a row, and also had a similar role in the past.
1.4480 worked as a cap to the pair just now, and also way back in the past. The round number of 1.44 served as a pivotal line, and is quite weak now.
After being a double bottom, 1.4330 is the next minor line. It switches positions to resistance. The peak of November 2010 at 1.4282 is is still with us as usual. This line works better as resistance than as support, and after it was lost, the pair fell quickly.
EUR/USD had a tough time breaking below 1.4220, which served as support in the past and is immediate resistance now. 1.4160 returned to having an important role in supporting the pair, despite being breached.
Moving lower, the round number of 1.41 provides stronger support now, after preventing a collapse. Just above the round number of 1.40, we find very important support at 1.4030 – it was successfully tested earlier in the summer.
Lower, 1.3950 was a pivotal line when the pair traded in lower ranges and proved that it is of high importance. After the comeback, this line was another clear support line. The bottom of 1.3838 will be closely watched in another fall. This was also a line of support last year. Below, 1.3750 is significant support, if the pair falls to a five month low.
Narrowing channel
Downtrend resistance begins at the end end of June and is quite moderate. Uptrend support begins from the swing low in July and is more sharp. The narrowing channel has been broken twice: once to the upside, but this was short lived. The pair finally closed below uptrend support – this is a bearish sign.
I remain bearish on EUR/USD.
With a fragile banking system and a very fragile Greece, euro/dollar has more room for falls. A break below the long term range depends a lot on the words of Trichet. If he remains stubborn, more choppy range trading can continue. Note that Monday is a holiday in the US, but afterwards, the markets will be fully active (source http://www.forexcrunch.com/
European market outlook week september 5 2011
European market outlook week september 5 2011 ; After the ugliest of jobs reports, a breakdown in Greek debt talks, and news that U.S. regulators are going after banks, Friday is most definitely a risk-off day. And yet FX markets are still taking the next wave of European political risks far too lightly.
On Sunday, the German north-eastern state of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern holds regional elections. Though Chancellor Angela Merkel is expected to pass this test of her coalition, it could raise questions about the depth of parliamentary support she has for expansion of the European Financial Stability Facility that euro-zone leaders agreed to on July 21. A weak Merkel is a weak euro.
On Monday, the lower chamber of the Italian parliament begins debating the latest fiscal package, the program of austerity that was part of the quid-pro-quo in return for the European Central Bank buying Italian bonds. Approval of the measures is expected, but Prime Minister Berlusconi’s move to scrap efforts to delay the retirement age and ditch a tax on the wealthy will leave the government short of cash. The preferred Italian solution: target tax evasion — but we all know how well that has worked in Greece.
On Tuesday, Italian unions will hold a general strike, a big display of the political pressure on Berlusconi.
On Wednesday, the German constitutional court rules on the legality of expanding the powers of the European Financial Stability Facility. It’s likely to uphold the EFSF but if it raises any doubts about it, nerves will be rattled for sure.
And On Thursday, the ECB holds its next policy meeting. At the end of the day, this is where the buck will stop for currency traders. Keep your eye on it.
All this comes against the backdrop of a no-win situation in Greece. With Greek GDP declining to a projected minus-5.0% in the second quarter and showing no sign of rebounding, the “troika” of the IMF, EU and ECB found Athens woefully short on measures to cut its deficit and so packed up and left the city on Friday. That left talks over the next tranche in the country’s bailout program up in the air and thus put in doubt the flow of funds that Greece desperately needs to avoid default.
With the Italy, the third largest economy in the euro zone, now lining up as the next domino to fall, this deteriorating environment will force the ECB to step up bond buying. But there’s an equally important question on what the central bank does with interest rates. And there, the market could get a surprise.
I believe that at the very least the word “vigilance” will be dropped from ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet’s commentary after the meeting. I also think the central bank will suggest leaning toward a cut in interest rates. The market is not at all prepared for this. It has been the strength of German data that has kept the ECB stubborn and German GDP is weakening.
On Sunday, the German north-eastern state of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern holds regional elections. Though Chancellor Angela Merkel is expected to pass this test of her coalition, it could raise questions about the depth of parliamentary support she has for expansion of the European Financial Stability Facility that euro-zone leaders agreed to on July 21. A weak Merkel is a weak euro.
On Monday, the lower chamber of the Italian parliament begins debating the latest fiscal package, the program of austerity that was part of the quid-pro-quo in return for the European Central Bank buying Italian bonds. Approval of the measures is expected, but Prime Minister Berlusconi’s move to scrap efforts to delay the retirement age and ditch a tax on the wealthy will leave the government short of cash. The preferred Italian solution: target tax evasion — but we all know how well that has worked in Greece.
On Tuesday, Italian unions will hold a general strike, a big display of the political pressure on Berlusconi.
On Wednesday, the German constitutional court rules on the legality of expanding the powers of the European Financial Stability Facility. It’s likely to uphold the EFSF but if it raises any doubts about it, nerves will be rattled for sure.
And On Thursday, the ECB holds its next policy meeting. At the end of the day, this is where the buck will stop for currency traders. Keep your eye on it.
All this comes against the backdrop of a no-win situation in Greece. With Greek GDP declining to a projected minus-5.0% in the second quarter and showing no sign of rebounding, the “troika” of the IMF, EU and ECB found Athens woefully short on measures to cut its deficit and so packed up and left the city on Friday. That left talks over the next tranche in the country’s bailout program up in the air and thus put in doubt the flow of funds that Greece desperately needs to avoid default.
With the Italy, the third largest economy in the euro zone, now lining up as the next domino to fall, this deteriorating environment will force the ECB to step up bond buying. But there’s an equally important question on what the central bank does with interest rates. And there, the market could get a surprise.
I believe that at the very least the word “vigilance” will be dropped from ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet’s commentary after the meeting. I also think the central bank will suggest leaning toward a cut in interest rates. The market is not at all prepared for this. It has been the strength of German data that has kept the ECB stubborn and German GDP is weakening.
WGC Gold prices and demand in India forecast 2020
WGC Gold prices and demand in India forecast 2020 ; Gold demand in India will continue to be robust in the next decade. The cumulative annual demand will be in excess of 1,200 tonnes by 2020, valued at about Rs 2,50,000 crore at current price levels, registering a growth of 33 per cent.
As per World Gold Council (WGC), gold demand in India is about to rise 33% by 2020. The cumulative annual demand will be in excess of 1,200 tonnes by 2020, valued at about Rs 2,50,000 crore at current price levels.
According to a new research conducted by the World Gold Council (WGC), the demand for gold in India would be driven by rapid GDP growth, urbanization and rise in income and savings levels of the consumer. The gold purchasing would increase by almost three per cent per annum over the next decade.
Gold purchases in India accounted for 32 per cent of the global total in 2010. Mahesh Vyas, managing director & CEO, CMIE said, “Our macroeconomic forecast to 2020 shows India is poised for a very strong period of economic growth and this has significant, positive implications for all forms of gold purchasing in India.”
The research highlights that with 50 per cent of the Indian population under 25 and approximately 150 million weddings anticipated over the next decade, which will drive gold consumption. The WGC expects that wedding related purchasing alone would drive around 500 tonnes a year in India. A further 500 tonnes of existing gold will be gifted by one family to another.
As per World Gold Council (WGC), gold demand in India is about to rise 33% by 2020. The cumulative annual demand will be in excess of 1,200 tonnes by 2020, valued at about Rs 2,50,000 crore at current price levels.
According to a new research conducted by the World Gold Council (WGC), the demand for gold in India would be driven by rapid GDP growth, urbanization and rise in income and savings levels of the consumer. The gold purchasing would increase by almost three per cent per annum over the next decade.
Gold purchases in India accounted for 32 per cent of the global total in 2010. Mahesh Vyas, managing director & CEO, CMIE said, “Our macroeconomic forecast to 2020 shows India is poised for a very strong period of economic growth and this has significant, positive implications for all forms of gold purchasing in India.”
The research highlights that with 50 per cent of the Indian population under 25 and approximately 150 million weddings anticipated over the next decade, which will drive gold consumption. The WGC expects that wedding related purchasing alone would drive around 500 tonnes a year in India. A further 500 tonnes of existing gold will be gifted by one family to another.
gold statistics last 6 months in india
Gold Statistics For Last 6 Months In India, Gold has been widely used throughout the world as a vehicle for monetary exchange or in the form of investment to hedge against inflation or in the form of jewellery.
All these factors are the reasons for hyping gold demand day by day. Seems like this non stop demanding nature of gold will lead it to its boom where it would be like a dream for a common man to purchase it.Read More...
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All these factors are the reasons for hyping gold demand day by day. Seems like this non stop demanding nature of gold will lead it to its boom where it would be like a dream for a common man to purchase it.Read More...
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Price target shares of Ciena (NASDAQ: CIEN)
Price target shares of Ciena (NASDAQ: CIEN) ; Equities research analysts at Citigroup (NYSE: C) raised their price target on shares of Ciena (NASDAQ: CIEN) to $18.00 in a research issued note to investors on Friday. They currently have a “buy” rating on the company’s shares.
Separately, analysts at Morgan Keegan reiterated a “market perform” rating on shares of Ciena in a research note to investors on Thursday. Also, analysts at Barclays Capital (NYSE: BCS) cut their price target on shares of Ciena from $30.00 to $22.00 in a research note to investors on Wednesday. They now have an “overweight” rating on the stock.
Shares of Ciena traded down 6.32% during mid-day trading on Monday, hitting $13.78. Ciena has a 52 week low of $10.33 and a 52 week high of $29.24. The stock’s 50-day moving average is $13.68 and its 200-day moving average is $21.45. The company has a market cap of $1.318 billion.
Ciena Corp. last announced its quarterly results on Thursday, September 1st. The company reported $0.08 earnings per share (EPS) for the previous quarter, beating the Thomson Reuters consensus estimate of ($0.09) EPS by $0.17. The company’s quarterly revenue was up 11.7% on a year-over-year basis. On average, analysts predict that Ciena will post $0.10 EPS next quarter.
About Ciena Corporation
Ciena Corporation is a provider of communications networking equipment, software and services that support the transport, switching, aggregation and management of voice, video, and data traffic. The Company’s optical service delivery and carrier Ethernet service delivery products are used individually, or as part of an integrated solution, in communications networks operated by service providers, cable operators, governments and enterprises worldwide. It is a network specialist targeting the transition of disparate, legacy communications networks to converged, next-generation architectures, able to handle traffic and deliver a mix of high-bandwidth communications services. In March 2010, CIENA Corporation acquired the optical networking and Carrier Ethernet assets of Nortel Networks Corporation’s+ Metro Ethernet Networks (MEN) business.
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Separately, analysts at Morgan Keegan reiterated a “market perform” rating on shares of Ciena in a research note to investors on Thursday. Also, analysts at Barclays Capital (NYSE: BCS) cut their price target on shares of Ciena from $30.00 to $22.00 in a research note to investors on Wednesday. They now have an “overweight” rating on the stock.
Shares of Ciena traded down 6.32% during mid-day trading on Monday, hitting $13.78. Ciena has a 52 week low of $10.33 and a 52 week high of $29.24. The stock’s 50-day moving average is $13.68 and its 200-day moving average is $21.45. The company has a market cap of $1.318 billion.
Ciena Corp. last announced its quarterly results on Thursday, September 1st. The company reported $0.08 earnings per share (EPS) for the previous quarter, beating the Thomson Reuters consensus estimate of ($0.09) EPS by $0.17. The company’s quarterly revenue was up 11.7% on a year-over-year basis. On average, analysts predict that Ciena will post $0.10 EPS next quarter.
About Ciena Corporation
Ciena Corporation is a provider of communications networking equipment, software and services that support the transport, switching, aggregation and management of voice, video, and data traffic. The Company’s optical service delivery and carrier Ethernet service delivery products are used individually, or as part of an integrated solution, in communications networks operated by service providers, cable operators, governments and enterprises worldwide. It is a network specialist targeting the transition of disparate, legacy communications networks to converged, next-generation architectures, able to handle traffic and deliver a mix of high-bandwidth communications services. In March 2010, CIENA Corporation acquired the optical networking and Carrier Ethernet assets of Nortel Networks Corporation’s+ Metro Ethernet Networks (MEN) business.
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Stock market forecast september 5 2011
Stock market forecast september 5 2011 : Stocks fall after the government says there was no job growth in August; unemployment remains at 9.1%. The 10-year Treasury yield falls below 2%. Gold jumps; oil slips. Markets will close for Labor Day.
A terrible, no-good, awful jobs report set off an ugly sell-off in U.S. stocks today after the government said the economy added no jobs at all in August. The national unemployment rate was unchanged at 9.1%.
The major averages fell more than 2.2% each, and the Dow Jones industrials ($INDU) and the Standard & Poor's 500 Index ($INX) ended slightly lower on the week.
The Dow closed down 253 points, or 2.2% to 11,240. The S&P 500 was off 30 points, or 2.5% to 1,174. The Nasdaq Composite Index ($COMPX) tumbled 66 points, or 2.6%, to 2,480.
Market Outlook: First off, we would note that the US Labor Day holiday follows on Monday, so we would expect market action to subside following the London/European close, meaning lower liquidity/higher volatility may be evident after noon EDT. With that in mind, we would also note US monthly jobs reports are known for heightened short-term volatility immediately following their release and we expect tomorrow’s to be no exception.
Complicating matters this time around are heightened expectations that the Fed may introduce additional easing measures at its Sept. 20-21 meeting. That decision will depend on the state of incoming data before then, and we think this gives greater weight to Friday’s jobs data than normal.
The payroll number was well below the consensus of a gain of 60,000 to 65,000 jobs. It was the first time in 11 months that the economy didn't produce at least some job gains. The report increases the stakes for President Obama, due to offer a jobs plan in a speech to Congress next week. It also suggests the Federal Reserve will make some moves at its September meeting to try to nurse the economy along.
Stock outlook sept 5 2011, Stock market prediction september 5 2011, Stock market oulook september 5 2011,
A terrible, no-good, awful jobs report set off an ugly sell-off in U.S. stocks today after the government said the economy added no jobs at all in August. The national unemployment rate was unchanged at 9.1%.
The major averages fell more than 2.2% each, and the Dow Jones industrials ($INDU) and the Standard & Poor's 500 Index ($INX) ended slightly lower on the week.
The Dow closed down 253 points, or 2.2% to 11,240. The S&P 500 was off 30 points, or 2.5% to 1,174. The Nasdaq Composite Index ($COMPX) tumbled 66 points, or 2.6%, to 2,480.
Market Outlook: First off, we would note that the US Labor Day holiday follows on Monday, so we would expect market action to subside following the London/European close, meaning lower liquidity/higher volatility may be evident after noon EDT. With that in mind, we would also note US monthly jobs reports are known for heightened short-term volatility immediately following their release and we expect tomorrow’s to be no exception.
Complicating matters this time around are heightened expectations that the Fed may introduce additional easing measures at its Sept. 20-21 meeting. That decision will depend on the state of incoming data before then, and we think this gives greater weight to Friday’s jobs data than normal.
The payroll number was well below the consensus of a gain of 60,000 to 65,000 jobs. It was the first time in 11 months that the economy didn't produce at least some job gains. The report increases the stakes for President Obama, due to offer a jobs plan in a speech to Congress next week. It also suggests the Federal Reserve will make some moves at its September meeting to try to nurse the economy along.
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platinum price forecast 2012
platinum price forecast 2012 : HSBC has cut its 2011 platinum and palladium price forecasts but upped its outlook for the period from 2012 to 2018, citing expectations that the market will move from a modest surplus into deficit.
The bank said Friday it had cut its outlook for platinum for the year to $1,825 a troy ounce from $1,850/oz previously, and reduced its palladium outlook to $785/oz from $825/oz.
The bank raised its 2012 platinum forecast from $1,750/oz to $1,875/Oz and its 2013 forecast for the metal from $1,650/oz to $1,825/Oz. It also increased its long-term platinum price forecast for the period from 2014 to 2018 by 10.8% from $1,625/oz to $1,800/Oz.
HSBC also increased its 2012 palladium forecast from $750/oz to $810/Oz, its 2013 palladium forecast from $725/oz to $825/Oz, and its long-term palladium forecast by 21% from $700/oz to $850/Oz.
Related post Platinum and Palladium price forecast 2012
Positive outlook for platinum to 2012
Global platinum markets have been in apparent deficit since at least 2002, and are anticipated to remain in deficit until at least 2012. However, if all new production comes on stream as and when promised, platinum markets could be in slight surplus from 2007. Read More...
HSBC ups 2011, 2012 gold, palladium and silver forecasts
In the face of perceived continuing risk aversion, HSBC has upped its gold forecast for 2011 by $25 to $1,450/oz and in 2012 by $25 to $1,300/oz.Read More...
platinum and palladium price outlook 2012 to 2018
HSBC has cut its 2011 platinum and palladium price forecasts but upped its outlook for the period from 2012 to 2018, citing expectations that the market will move from a modest surplus into deficit Read More...
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The bank said Friday it had cut its outlook for platinum for the year to $1,825 a troy ounce from $1,850/oz previously, and reduced its palladium outlook to $785/oz from $825/oz.
The bank raised its 2012 platinum forecast from $1,750/oz to $1,875/Oz and its 2013 forecast for the metal from $1,650/oz to $1,825/Oz. It also increased its long-term platinum price forecast for the period from 2014 to 2018 by 10.8% from $1,625/oz to $1,800/Oz.
HSBC also increased its 2012 palladium forecast from $750/oz to $810/Oz, its 2013 palladium forecast from $725/oz to $825/Oz, and its long-term palladium forecast by 21% from $700/oz to $850/Oz.
Related post Platinum and Palladium price forecast 2012
Positive outlook for platinum to 2012
Global platinum markets have been in apparent deficit since at least 2002, and are anticipated to remain in deficit until at least 2012. However, if all new production comes on stream as and when promised, platinum markets could be in slight surplus from 2007. Read More...
HSBC ups 2011, 2012 gold, palladium and silver forecasts
In the face of perceived continuing risk aversion, HSBC has upped its gold forecast for 2011 by $25 to $1,450/oz and in 2012 by $25 to $1,300/oz.Read More...
platinum and palladium price outlook 2012 to 2018
HSBC has cut its 2011 platinum and palladium price forecasts but upped its outlook for the period from 2012 to 2018, citing expectations that the market will move from a modest surplus into deficit Read More...
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Thursday, September 1, 2011
cotton prices predictions 2012
cotton prices predictions 2012 ; The first U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) cotton forecast for 2011/12 projects growth in both world cotton production and consumption, with production exceeding consumption for the first time in 7 years. Global production is forecast to rise to a record of about 125 million bales, 10 million above 2010/11.
The nearly 9-percent growth rate for 2011/12 pushes the anticipated crop nearly 12 million bales above the 5- year average.
Cotton production in 2011/12 is forecast to increase in most of the major producing countries, led by India, China, and Pakistan. World cotton consumption for 2011/12 is projected at 119.5 million bales, 3 million higher than 2010/11 and the largest since 2007/08. Read World cotton production forecast 2011 -2012
Morgan Stanley (MS) cut its 2012-2013 cotton price forecast by 15 percent as the bank expects high prices to curb “near-term” demand and farmers to plant more.
Cotton may average 80 cents a pound in the marketing year ending July 2013, compared with 94 cents in an earlier projection, Hussein Allidina, the bank’s New York-based head of research, and Bennett Meier, said in a report dated yesterday. The 2011-2012 forecast was raised by 14 percent to $1 a pound.
These forecasts reflect our expectation that moderate near-term demand deferral and a large supply response this year will pressure prices in 2011, 2012 and beyond,
The global stocks-to-use ratio is likely to improve from the current 17-year-low level, Morgan Stanley said. “This estimate is contingent on yield improvements in China and Pakistan, as well as a further 7 percent increase in global acreage in 2011, compared to an average decline of 0.7 percent over the past 10 years.”
Our 2011/12 price forecasts imply 19 percent of additional downside to the futures curve through the end of the marketing year,” the analysts said.
Weather is “a growing risk” to U.S. production, they said, referring to drought in Texas, the largest cotton- producing state. About 63 percent of Texas cotton is unirrigated, they said and estimate nearly 3.8 million acres of crops stand a “heightened risk of abandonment or sub-trend yields.
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The nearly 9-percent growth rate for 2011/12 pushes the anticipated crop nearly 12 million bales above the 5- year average.
Cotton production in 2011/12 is forecast to increase in most of the major producing countries, led by India, China, and Pakistan. World cotton consumption for 2011/12 is projected at 119.5 million bales, 3 million higher than 2010/11 and the largest since 2007/08. Read World cotton production forecast 2011 -2012
Morgan Stanley (MS) cut its 2012-2013 cotton price forecast by 15 percent as the bank expects high prices to curb “near-term” demand and farmers to plant more.
Cotton may average 80 cents a pound in the marketing year ending July 2013, compared with 94 cents in an earlier projection, Hussein Allidina, the bank’s New York-based head of research, and Bennett Meier, said in a report dated yesterday. The 2011-2012 forecast was raised by 14 percent to $1 a pound.
These forecasts reflect our expectation that moderate near-term demand deferral and a large supply response this year will pressure prices in 2011, 2012 and beyond,
The global stocks-to-use ratio is likely to improve from the current 17-year-low level, Morgan Stanley said. “This estimate is contingent on yield improvements in China and Pakistan, as well as a further 7 percent increase in global acreage in 2011, compared to an average decline of 0.7 percent over the past 10 years.”
Our 2011/12 price forecasts imply 19 percent of additional downside to the futures curve through the end of the marketing year,” the analysts said.
Weather is “a growing risk” to U.S. production, they said, referring to drought in Texas, the largest cotton- producing state. About 63 percent of Texas cotton is unirrigated, they said and estimate nearly 3.8 million acres of crops stand a “heightened risk of abandonment or sub-trend yields.
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Gold prices forecast will likely march $2,000 an ounce end of this year 2011
Gold prices forecast will likely march $2,000 an ounce end of this year 2011 ; As traders close the books on August, the volatility that was the hallmark of this month’s activity is likely to continue into September and year-end. Market watchers said the factors that caused the run up continue to be in place for Gold – strong speculative interest, worries about the eurozone debt problems and political intransigence in the U.S.
Gold prices will likely march even higher, with $2,000 an ounce expected by the end of this year, if not sooner; however, sizable price swings probably will accompany the uptrend.
Most-active December gold futures on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange settled at $1,831.70 an ounce on Wednesday, up $1.90. On the month, gold prices rose 12%, about $200.
The summer is normally supposed to be a quiet time of weaker prices for the gold market, but that wasn’t the case this year. Investors sought the safe-haven of gold as worries in Europe, whether it was the funding of European banks or the economic health of southern-tier countries. A fractious debate between Republicans and Democrats over raising the debt ceiling also led to “risk-off” trading.
All of that pushed prices to all-time nominal highs of $1,917.90 – and for a short-term pushed the market capitalization of the largest gold exchange-traded fund, SPDR Gold Trust (GLD), above the SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) EFT, normally biggest ETF.
That sort of action in gold suggested an extreme level of speculative participation, said Bill O’Neill, one of the principals with LOGIC Advisors.
After reaching that all-time nominal high, gold prices fell $200 swiftly, but since the break the market has recouped about half of those losses.
“I think it (the price break) was healthy and it needed to develop,” O’Neill said.
Prices did not stay at those initial lower levels for long, something which surprised several market watchers.
“Some people expected gold to back down to $1,600, but here we are end of the month and we’re above $1,840. I’m impressed with how it rebounded,” said Mike Zarembski, futures analyst with options Xpress.
O’Neill said there was strong buying on the break in gold, particularly out of Asia and Europe.
Now, the market is headed into September and the fourth-quarter of the year, seasonally a strong time for prices. The long-term trend is higher, but that doesn’t mean prices will go straight up. Zarembski and O’Neill expect more of a two-sided trade, which means volatile action could be the norm. Read Gold prices prediction september 2011
“We didn’t put to rest anything that caused the volatility in August. There was a lot of upheaval and nothing was solved…. I see a very volatile fourth quarter as nothing has been decided in the U.S. and E.U.,” Zarembski said.
O’Neill also said there is more of an inflation threat now than there was earlier this year, giving Gold more support.
Dave Meger, director of metals trading at Vision Financial Markets, said the heightened speculative trading in gold is why the market will depart from its usual slow grind higher into the end of the year and become more erratic. “We absolutely expect it to more volatile… to see more back and forth,” he said.
Volatility is good news for short-term traders who like to take advantage of price swings, but not necessarily for the long-term investor. “The buy-and-hold investor needs to believe in the underlying fundamentals… I don’t recommend chasing rallies, especially over the next couple of weeks. Dips will be your buying opportunities,” Meger said.
O’Neill suggested long-dated options with a bullish bias as another way to play rallies in a conservative manner. Long-dated options are essentially options that don’t expire right away.
Both O’Neill and Zarembski said gold prices could go to $2,000 by the end of the year, with Zarembski saying that level could be hit by Thanksgiving if there is another break in the equities markets because of bad economic news or governmental problems in the U.S. or E.U.
But Zarembski doesn’t rule out a trip to $1,600, either. If there is another “risk-off” move and traders decide to move to cash, then gold prices could suffer. Also, he said, the market acts as if it wants to trade to $2,000. Once it accomplishes that task, it could retreat.
“I think we’ll go to $2,000, have one blow-off type move (up) and then pull back,” Zarembski said.
Mark Leibovit, chief market strategist, VR Gold Trader.com, said while he remains long-term bullish gold, he’s watching for a possible pullback in the short-term for gold after spot prices hit resistance at $1,841 and pulled back to $1,810.
“We sometimes see a pullback into early September before we resume higher…. Should a large sell-off unfold now or at a later date, the 40-week moving average … (currently standing around $1,490) should provide major support. A theoretical ‘head-and-shoulder’ technical pattern suggests that if we take out $1,702, we could see $1,500 - so the two indicators match up in that regard,” he said.
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Gold prices will likely march even higher, with $2,000 an ounce expected by the end of this year, if not sooner; however, sizable price swings probably will accompany the uptrend.
Most-active December gold futures on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange settled at $1,831.70 an ounce on Wednesday, up $1.90. On the month, gold prices rose 12%, about $200.
The summer is normally supposed to be a quiet time of weaker prices for the gold market, but that wasn’t the case this year. Investors sought the safe-haven of gold as worries in Europe, whether it was the funding of European banks or the economic health of southern-tier countries. A fractious debate between Republicans and Democrats over raising the debt ceiling also led to “risk-off” trading.
All of that pushed prices to all-time nominal highs of $1,917.90 – and for a short-term pushed the market capitalization of the largest gold exchange-traded fund, SPDR Gold Trust (GLD), above the SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) EFT, normally biggest ETF.
That sort of action in gold suggested an extreme level of speculative participation, said Bill O’Neill, one of the principals with LOGIC Advisors.
After reaching that all-time nominal high, gold prices fell $200 swiftly, but since the break the market has recouped about half of those losses.
“I think it (the price break) was healthy and it needed to develop,” O’Neill said.
Prices did not stay at those initial lower levels for long, something which surprised several market watchers.
“Some people expected gold to back down to $1,600, but here we are end of the month and we’re above $1,840. I’m impressed with how it rebounded,” said Mike Zarembski, futures analyst with options Xpress.
O’Neill said there was strong buying on the break in gold, particularly out of Asia and Europe.
Now, the market is headed into September and the fourth-quarter of the year, seasonally a strong time for prices. The long-term trend is higher, but that doesn’t mean prices will go straight up. Zarembski and O’Neill expect more of a two-sided trade, which means volatile action could be the norm. Read Gold prices prediction september 2011
“We didn’t put to rest anything that caused the volatility in August. There was a lot of upheaval and nothing was solved…. I see a very volatile fourth quarter as nothing has been decided in the U.S. and E.U.,” Zarembski said.
O’Neill also said there is more of an inflation threat now than there was earlier this year, giving Gold more support.
Dave Meger, director of metals trading at Vision Financial Markets, said the heightened speculative trading in gold is why the market will depart from its usual slow grind higher into the end of the year and become more erratic. “We absolutely expect it to more volatile… to see more back and forth,” he said.
Volatility is good news for short-term traders who like to take advantage of price swings, but not necessarily for the long-term investor. “The buy-and-hold investor needs to believe in the underlying fundamentals… I don’t recommend chasing rallies, especially over the next couple of weeks. Dips will be your buying opportunities,” Meger said.
O’Neill suggested long-dated options with a bullish bias as another way to play rallies in a conservative manner. Long-dated options are essentially options that don’t expire right away.
Both O’Neill and Zarembski said gold prices could go to $2,000 by the end of the year, with Zarembski saying that level could be hit by Thanksgiving if there is another break in the equities markets because of bad economic news or governmental problems in the U.S. or E.U.
But Zarembski doesn’t rule out a trip to $1,600, either. If there is another “risk-off” move and traders decide to move to cash, then gold prices could suffer. Also, he said, the market acts as if it wants to trade to $2,000. Once it accomplishes that task, it could retreat.
“I think we’ll go to $2,000, have one blow-off type move (up) and then pull back,” Zarembski said.
Mark Leibovit, chief market strategist, VR Gold Trader.com, said while he remains long-term bullish gold, he’s watching for a possible pullback in the short-term for gold after spot prices hit resistance at $1,841 and pulled back to $1,810.
“We sometimes see a pullback into early September before we resume higher…. Should a large sell-off unfold now or at a later date, the 40-week moving average … (currently standing around $1,490) should provide major support. A theoretical ‘head-and-shoulder’ technical pattern suggests that if we take out $1,702, we could see $1,500 - so the two indicators match up in that regard,” he said.
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Sony Tablet S series available in US and European markets
Sony Tablet S series available in US and European markets, Sony Tablet S series review, ; Sony's first tablet computer will hit the Japanese market on September 17 2011 as the company looks to take on Apple's popular iPad, the electronics giant said Thursday.
The Sony Tablet will be powered by Google's Android software, allowing users to download content such as books, movies and games.
The Sony Tablet "S" series with a 9.4-inch (23.8 centimetre) touchscreen display is expected to have a price tag of 45,000 yen ($580) for a 16-gigabyte data storage model and 53,000 yen for the 32-gigabyte version.
The product will also become available in US and European markets later this month, with a price tag of $499 and 479 euros for the 16-gigabyte model.
Competitors have rushed to cash in on soaring demand for tablets since the iPad was released in April last year, but Sony's devices will arrive well behind those of its rivals.
The devices will have access to Sony's cloud of online content such as movies, music, digital books, PlayStation games and other entertainment.
Sony has focused more on pushing its content such as games and music through hardware platforms including game consoles, smartphones and tablet computers.
It will release the dual-screened "P" series with a folding design, incorporating two 5.5-inch screens in Japan between October and November. The series will be launched in November in Europe and sometime later this year in the United States.
"Sony aims to grab the No. 1 share of the growing Android-based tablet market (in Japan) in fiscal 2012 (ending March 2013)," Kyodo News quoted Akihiro Matsubara, corporate vice president of Sony Marketing Inc, as saying.
Sony shares rose 1.98 percent to 1,698 yen in Tokyo trade on Thursday.
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The Sony Tablet will be powered by Google's Android software, allowing users to download content such as books, movies and games.
The Sony Tablet "S" series with a 9.4-inch (23.8 centimetre) touchscreen display is expected to have a price tag of 45,000 yen ($580) for a 16-gigabyte data storage model and 53,000 yen for the 32-gigabyte version.
The product will also become available in US and European markets later this month, with a price tag of $499 and 479 euros for the 16-gigabyte model.
Competitors have rushed to cash in on soaring demand for tablets since the iPad was released in April last year, but Sony's devices will arrive well behind those of its rivals.
The devices will have access to Sony's cloud of online content such as movies, music, digital books, PlayStation games and other entertainment.
Sony has focused more on pushing its content such as games and music through hardware platforms including game consoles, smartphones and tablet computers.
It will release the dual-screened "P" series with a folding design, incorporating two 5.5-inch screens in Japan between October and November. The series will be launched in November in Europe and sometime later this year in the United States.
"Sony aims to grab the No. 1 share of the growing Android-based tablet market (in Japan) in fiscal 2012 (ending March 2013)," Kyodo News quoted Akihiro Matsubara, corporate vice president of Sony Marketing Inc, as saying.
Sony shares rose 1.98 percent to 1,698 yen in Tokyo trade on Thursday.
Sony Tablet S series specifications,Sony Tablet S series prices, Sony Tablet S series spect, apple tablet, apple tablet pc, apple tablet computer, apple tablet price, new apple tablet
VZ stock prices outlook september 2011
VZ stock prices outlook september 2011 : The U.S. government on Wednesday sued to block AT&T Inc's $39 billion purchase of T-Mobile USA, citing concerns it will harm competition in the wireless market and lead to higher prices.
The surprise move, which was the biggest antitrust challenge yet by the Obama administration, caught the carriers by surprise and if successful would end AT&T's move to unseat Verizon Wireless as the No. 1 U.S. mobile carrier.
Verizon Communications Inc. (NYSE:VZ) fell nearly one half a percent. The volume of trading was up only 28 percent when compared to the average. Verizon has a market cap of $102 billion.
The surprise move, which was the biggest antitrust challenge yet by the Obama administration, caught the carriers by surprise and if successful would end AT&T's move to unseat Verizon Wireless as the No. 1 U.S. mobile carrier.
Verizon Communications Inc. (NYSE:VZ) fell nearly one half a percent. The volume of trading was up only 28 percent when compared to the average. Verizon has a market cap of $102 billion.
AT&T Inc stock prices outlook septembert 1 2011
AT&T Inc stock prices outlook septembert 1 2011 ; AT&T Inc. (NYSE:T) fell more than three percent during regular trading. In after hours the stock is up seven cents (0.25%) to $28.55.
The trading volume for AT&T was up more than 220 percent above average during the day. Although most large-cap stocks were higher, of the 160 in our index, T was the second biggest decliner.
The trading volume for AT&T was up more than 220 percent above average during the day. Although most large-cap stocks were higher, of the 160 in our index, T was the second biggest decliner.
best stock market simulation games to play
best stock market simulation games to play ; A stock market simulation game is a great way to practice your investment skills before actually investing any "real" money in the stock market.
Simulation games are usually played on the internet, where people can experience the thrill of investing in the stock market without any risks, costs or any fear of losing money when and if they make a poor investment decision. Read how to choosing a stock market simulation games
Top 3 Best On-line Stock Market Games
The best stock market games for beginners are those that most realistically reflect actual trading in the stock market. Stock market games are nothing new. Most beginning investors do a little “paper trading” before committing real money to the stock market.Read More...
SmartStocks.com Free Stock Market Simulation Game
SmartStocks.com provides a live stock game using real stock quotes. Learn how to trade online and invest in the stock market without risking your hard earned money. Test your new investment strategy before trying it out for real. Read More...
Investopedia Free Stock Market Game
Fantasy stock market game that simulates trading stocks and options. ... Investopedia Stock Simulator: Your FREE fantasy investing pool! Compete with $100000 Read More...
WallStreetSurvivo
Create a custom game that’s branded with your school, group or company. Choose your own trading dates, cash balance, and other trading options. You and the other players automatically get entered to win 100,000 of cash and prizes. It’s 100% free. Read More...
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Simulation games are usually played on the internet, where people can experience the thrill of investing in the stock market without any risks, costs or any fear of losing money when and if they make a poor investment decision. Read how to choosing a stock market simulation games
Top 3 Best On-line Stock Market Games
The best stock market games for beginners are those that most realistically reflect actual trading in the stock market. Stock market games are nothing new. Most beginning investors do a little “paper trading” before committing real money to the stock market.Read More...
SmartStocks.com Free Stock Market Simulation Game
SmartStocks.com provides a live stock game using real stock quotes. Learn how to trade online and invest in the stock market without risking your hard earned money. Test your new investment strategy before trying it out for real. Read More...
Investopedia Free Stock Market Game
Fantasy stock market game that simulates trading stocks and options. ... Investopedia Stock Simulator: Your FREE fantasy investing pool! Compete with $100000 Read More...
WallStreetSurvivo
Create a custom game that’s branded with your school, group or company. Choose your own trading dates, cash balance, and other trading options. You and the other players automatically get entered to win 100,000 of cash and prizes. It’s 100% free. Read More...
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how to choosing a stock market simulation games ; A stock market simulation game is a great way to practice your investment skills before actually investing any "real" money in the stock market.
Simulation games are usually played on the internet, where people can experience the thrill of investing in the stock market without any risks, costs or any fear of losing money when and if they make a poor investment decision.
Below are some tips on choosing a stock market simulation game:
1. Choose a stock market simulation game that is used and recommended by reputable colleges, high schools, middle school, investment clubs, brokers in training, corporate education courses and any other group of individuals studying markets in the U.S. and worldwide.
2. Choose a stock market simulation game that is comprehensive and easy to implement in any Finance, Economics, or Investments class. A good stock market simulation game should feature trading of stocks, options, futures, mutual funds, bonds from the U.S. and many of the world's major markets.
3. Choose a stock market simulation game that provides a valuable, reliable, and realistic trading simulation at a reasonable price to members and other individuals who are interested in learning more about investing and trading. The simulation game should also have some capability for testing a variety for investment strategies.
4. Choose a stock market simulation game that has a toll-free customer service phone number and excellent e-mail support for members. The support function should be able to quickly answer any questions that members/players may have.
5. Choose a stock market simulation game that is easy to use and easy to teach even to those who have never had any real hands-on investment experience.
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Simulation games are usually played on the internet, where people can experience the thrill of investing in the stock market without any risks, costs or any fear of losing money when and if they make a poor investment decision.
Below are some tips on choosing a stock market simulation game:
1. Choose a stock market simulation game that is used and recommended by reputable colleges, high schools, middle school, investment clubs, brokers in training, corporate education courses and any other group of individuals studying markets in the U.S. and worldwide.
2. Choose a stock market simulation game that is comprehensive and easy to implement in any Finance, Economics, or Investments class. A good stock market simulation game should feature trading of stocks, options, futures, mutual funds, bonds from the U.S. and many of the world's major markets.
3. Choose a stock market simulation game that provides a valuable, reliable, and realistic trading simulation at a reasonable price to members and other individuals who are interested in learning more about investing and trading. The simulation game should also have some capability for testing a variety for investment strategies.
4. Choose a stock market simulation game that has a toll-free customer service phone number and excellent e-mail support for members. The support function should be able to quickly answer any questions that members/players may have.
5. Choose a stock market simulation game that is easy to use and easy to teach even to those who have never had any real hands-on investment experience.
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Wednesday, August 31, 2011
Singapore Property Market outlook 2012
Singapore Property Market outlook 2012 : Singapore’s central bank expects inflation to average between 2 and 3 cent in 2011. The island nation’s GDP is also officially forecast to register a healthy growth of 4 to 6 per cent next year, despite moderat- ing from the estimated 15 per cent for 2010.
Singapore Property Market Outlook
The main increase in Supply is in year 2012 and year 2013, at 13,246 and 15,492 respectively. In year 2014, the number falls to 9,049. Thus, based on the numbers, it would appear that year 2010 we are still likely to see Supply insufficient to meet Demand, thereby causing an "upward pressure" on Prices Read More...
Singapore Property Market to Ride on Economic Growth in 2011
The pressure due to (the) increase in supply of retail space at (the) Orchard/Scotts Road area is expected to ease as retail space is expected to be gradually absorbed,” he said. “With lesser supply coming on stream in 2011 and 2012, retails rents may increase. Read More...
Private property market in Singapore to crash in late 2011?
Will the superheated state of property price continue to increase or will we be able to sustain property prices for long in this superheated state? Will we be able to take a second wave of superheating in 2011 without the market come crashing down? I think everything goes up must come down and the higher it goes up, the harder it is when it eventually comes down Read More...
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Singapore Property Market Outlook
The main increase in Supply is in year 2012 and year 2013, at 13,246 and 15,492 respectively. In year 2014, the number falls to 9,049. Thus, based on the numbers, it would appear that year 2010 we are still likely to see Supply insufficient to meet Demand, thereby causing an "upward pressure" on Prices Read More...
Singapore Property Market to Ride on Economic Growth in 2011
The pressure due to (the) increase in supply of retail space at (the) Orchard/Scotts Road area is expected to ease as retail space is expected to be gradually absorbed,” he said. “With lesser supply coming on stream in 2011 and 2012, retails rents may increase. Read More...
Private property market in Singapore to crash in late 2011?
Will the superheated state of property price continue to increase or will we be able to sustain property prices for long in this superheated state? Will we be able to take a second wave of superheating in 2011 without the market come crashing down? I think everything goes up must come down and the higher it goes up, the harder it is when it eventually comes down Read More...
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best gold and silver ETF funds 2011
best gold and silver ETF funds 2011, best gold and silver stock 2011 : Top 10 best gold and silver ETFs that trade on major U.S. exchanges. We’ve ranked them by volume, as some of the niche ETFs in the precious metals market are so thinly traded they can be subject to extreme price volatility or – in some cases – underperformance when compared with the underlying commodities they’re supposed to track.
iShares Silver Trust (ETF) (NYSE:SLV), Volume 38 million shares The world’s largest silver ETF, the iShares Silver Trust currently holds 10,764 metric tons of silver. That’s a lot of ingots. The SLV is the second-strongest performer on our list of the Top 10 gold and silver ETFs, getting shown up only by the Ultra Silver ETF (a double-long silver ETF). With an average volume around 38 million, SLV is easily the most active gold and silver ETF on the market. 12-month performance: +107 percent
SPDR Gold Trust (ETF) (NYSE:GLD), Volume 17.4 million shares Among the most well-known ETFs on the exchanges, it’s more common to hear the SPDR Gold Trust referred to by its ticker: GLD (that’s when you know you’ve made it). The GLD currently has a market cap of more than $56 billion. 12-month performance: +26 percent
Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (NYSE:GDX), Volume 5.8 million shares The GDX seeks to mirror the NYSE Arca Gold Miners Index – an index that’s weighted toward large-cap gold mining stocks. The index’s single largest component stock is Barrick Gold Corporation (USA) (NYSE:ABX), which makes up nearly 17 percent of the index’s weighting. 12-month performance: +29 percent
iShares Gold Trust (ETF) (NYSE:IAU), Volume 5.2 million shares A physical gold ETF, the iShares Gold Trust has largely played second fiddle to GLD. IAU has a market cap of $5.4 billion while GLD’s market cap exceeds $56 billion. 12-month performance: +26 percent
SPDR S&P Metals and Mining (ETF) (NYSE:XME), Volume 2.8 million shares The SPDR S&P Metals & Mining ETF mirrors the S&P Metals & Mining Select Industry Index by buying baskets of shares in metals and mining stocks. The index is comprised not just of precious metals but steel, coal and consumable fuels, aluminum and other metal and mining-related stocks. Most recently, the ETFs largest holding was Australian iron ore and coal producer Cliffs Natural Resources Inc. (NYSE:CLF), which made up 4.71 percent of the fund’s holdings. 12-month performance: +26 percent.
Market Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF (NYSE:GDXJ), Volume 1.8 million shares The Market Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF mirrors the Market Vectors Junior Gold Miners Index. Since the Junior Gold Miners Index is comprised of small- and medium-cap gold mining stocks, the GDXJ is subject to more volatility than the GDX, which is geared toward larger mining companies. When the industry’s doing well, GDXJ does even better. 12-month performance: +53 percent
ProShares Ultra Silver (ETF) (NYSE:AGQ), Volume 1.59 million shares The AGQ ETF invests in silver futures and forwards as it seeks to return 2X the daily returns of silver as measured by the U.S. Dollar fixing price for delivery in London. It’s a very bullish bet that silver’s going to rise in the coming days. Just don’t be caught holding it if sentiment shifts away from the metal. 12-month performance: +266 percent
PowerShares DB Gold Double Long ETN (NYSE:DGP), Volume 476,000 shares DGP invests in gold futures contracts as it attempts to return 2X the daily price of gold bullion as measured by movements in the Deutsche Bank Liquid Commodity Index – Optimum Yield Gold. 12-month performance: +53 percent
ProShares Ultra Gold (ETF) (NYSE:UGL), Volume 223,000 shares UGL seeks twice (200%) the daily performance of gold bullion by investing in gold futures and forwards. The fund has shot up 12 percent over the past month. 12-month performance: +51 percent
ETFS Gold Trust (NYSE:SGOL), Volume 151,000 shares SGOL is designed to reflect the performance of the price of gold bullion backed by physical gold that’s held in Zurich, Switzerland. The fund’s physical gold conforms to the London Bullion Market Association’s (LBMA) rules for Good Delivery. 12-month performance: +26 percent
Honorable Mention: Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 2X Shares (NYSE:NUGT), Volume 28,500 shares The newest of the offerings on our list, NUGT seeks to return 200 percent of the price performance of the NYSE Arca GoldMiners Index. Interestingly, the fund counts GDX (another gold mining ETF listed above) as its largest holding. 3-month performance: -4 percent. Source http://tradingstocks.bywayofmail.com/top-10-best-gold-and-silver-etf-funds/
iShares Silver Trust (ETF) (NYSE:SLV), Volume 38 million shares The world’s largest silver ETF, the iShares Silver Trust currently holds 10,764 metric tons of silver. That’s a lot of ingots. The SLV is the second-strongest performer on our list of the Top 10 gold and silver ETFs, getting shown up only by the Ultra Silver ETF (a double-long silver ETF). With an average volume around 38 million, SLV is easily the most active gold and silver ETF on the market. 12-month performance: +107 percent
SPDR Gold Trust (ETF) (NYSE:GLD), Volume 17.4 million shares Among the most well-known ETFs on the exchanges, it’s more common to hear the SPDR Gold Trust referred to by its ticker: GLD (that’s when you know you’ve made it). The GLD currently has a market cap of more than $56 billion. 12-month performance: +26 percent
Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (NYSE:GDX), Volume 5.8 million shares The GDX seeks to mirror the NYSE Arca Gold Miners Index – an index that’s weighted toward large-cap gold mining stocks. The index’s single largest component stock is Barrick Gold Corporation (USA) (NYSE:ABX), which makes up nearly 17 percent of the index’s weighting. 12-month performance: +29 percent
iShares Gold Trust (ETF) (NYSE:IAU), Volume 5.2 million shares A physical gold ETF, the iShares Gold Trust has largely played second fiddle to GLD. IAU has a market cap of $5.4 billion while GLD’s market cap exceeds $56 billion. 12-month performance: +26 percent
SPDR S&P Metals and Mining (ETF) (NYSE:XME), Volume 2.8 million shares The SPDR S&P Metals & Mining ETF mirrors the S&P Metals & Mining Select Industry Index by buying baskets of shares in metals and mining stocks. The index is comprised not just of precious metals but steel, coal and consumable fuels, aluminum and other metal and mining-related stocks. Most recently, the ETFs largest holding was Australian iron ore and coal producer Cliffs Natural Resources Inc. (NYSE:CLF), which made up 4.71 percent of the fund’s holdings. 12-month performance: +26 percent.
Market Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF (NYSE:GDXJ), Volume 1.8 million shares The Market Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF mirrors the Market Vectors Junior Gold Miners Index. Since the Junior Gold Miners Index is comprised of small- and medium-cap gold mining stocks, the GDXJ is subject to more volatility than the GDX, which is geared toward larger mining companies. When the industry’s doing well, GDXJ does even better. 12-month performance: +53 percent
ProShares Ultra Silver (ETF) (NYSE:AGQ), Volume 1.59 million shares The AGQ ETF invests in silver futures and forwards as it seeks to return 2X the daily returns of silver as measured by the U.S. Dollar fixing price for delivery in London. It’s a very bullish bet that silver’s going to rise in the coming days. Just don’t be caught holding it if sentiment shifts away from the metal. 12-month performance: +266 percent
PowerShares DB Gold Double Long ETN (NYSE:DGP), Volume 476,000 shares DGP invests in gold futures contracts as it attempts to return 2X the daily price of gold bullion as measured by movements in the Deutsche Bank Liquid Commodity Index – Optimum Yield Gold. 12-month performance: +53 percent
ProShares Ultra Gold (ETF) (NYSE:UGL), Volume 223,000 shares UGL seeks twice (200%) the daily performance of gold bullion by investing in gold futures and forwards. The fund has shot up 12 percent over the past month. 12-month performance: +51 percent
ETFS Gold Trust (NYSE:SGOL), Volume 151,000 shares SGOL is designed to reflect the performance of the price of gold bullion backed by physical gold that’s held in Zurich, Switzerland. The fund’s physical gold conforms to the London Bullion Market Association’s (LBMA) rules for Good Delivery. 12-month performance: +26 percent
Honorable Mention: Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 2X Shares (NYSE:NUGT), Volume 28,500 shares The newest of the offerings on our list, NUGT seeks to return 200 percent of the price performance of the NYSE Arca GoldMiners Index. Interestingly, the fund counts GDX (another gold mining ETF listed above) as its largest holding. 3-month performance: -4 percent. Source http://tradingstocks.bywayofmail.com/top-10-best-gold-and-silver-etf-funds/
Gold prices outlook september 1 2011
Gold prices outlook september 1 2011 : For the last few months the price of Gold has been at record highs! Many investors are wondering is now the best time to invest money in gold and silver.
Historically gold has always been a valuable assets and has never been worth nothing. I don’t think there will ever be a day when gold has no value.
Gold futures fluctuated between small gains and losses Wednesday, retracing some of the previous session’s steep gains but keeping above the psychologically important $1,800-an-ounce mark. Read Gold prices prediction for september 2011
Gold for December delivery +0.52% recently added $3.60, or 0.2%, to trade at $1,833.10 on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange.
Gold has risen roughly 12% so far this month, and nearly 30% year to date. The contract jumped $38.20, or 2.1%, to $1,829.80 an ounce in New York on Tuesday. See report on Tuesday’s gold trading.
Any level below $1,800 per ounce should see some buying because when prices went to $1,900, many investors were on the sidelines.
Gold prices forecast september 1 2011, Gold prices predictions september 2011, Comex gold prices, Gold futures prices outlook septembet 2011.
Historically gold has always been a valuable assets and has never been worth nothing. I don’t think there will ever be a day when gold has no value.
Gold futures fluctuated between small gains and losses Wednesday, retracing some of the previous session’s steep gains but keeping above the psychologically important $1,800-an-ounce mark. Read Gold prices prediction for september 2011
Gold for December delivery +0.52% recently added $3.60, or 0.2%, to trade at $1,833.10 on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange.
Gold has risen roughly 12% so far this month, and nearly 30% year to date. The contract jumped $38.20, or 2.1%, to $1,829.80 an ounce in New York on Tuesday. See report on Tuesday’s gold trading.
Any level below $1,800 per ounce should see some buying because when prices went to $1,900, many investors were on the sidelines.
Gold prices forecast september 1 2011, Gold prices predictions september 2011, Comex gold prices, Gold futures prices outlook septembet 2011.
Tuesday, August 30, 2011
Imperial Oil Stock To Go Ex-dividend august 31 2011
Imperial Oil Stock To Go Ex-dividend august 31 2011 : The ex-dividend date for Imperial Oil (AMEX:IMO) is tomorrow, August 31, 2011. Owners of shares as of market close today will be eligible for a dividend of 12 cents per share. At a price of $39.80 as of 9:30 a.m. ET, the dividend yield is 1.2%.
The average volume for Imperial Oil has been 473,100 shares per day over the past 30 days. Imperial Oil has a market cap of $33.3 billion and is part of the basic materials sector and energy industry. Shares are down 1.4% year to date as of the close of trading on Monday.
Imperial Oil Limited engages in the exploration, production, and sale of crude oil and natural gas in Canada. The company operates through three segments: Upstream, Downstream, and Chemical. The company has a P/E ratio of 11.9, equal to the average energy industry P/E ratio and below the S&P 500 P/E ratio of 17.7.
The average volume for Imperial Oil has been 473,100 shares per day over the past 30 days. Imperial Oil has a market cap of $33.3 billion and is part of the basic materials sector and energy industry. Shares are down 1.4% year to date as of the close of trading on Monday.
Imperial Oil Limited engages in the exploration, production, and sale of crude oil and natural gas in Canada. The company operates through three segments: Upstream, Downstream, and Chemical. The company has a P/E ratio of 11.9, equal to the average energy industry P/E ratio and below the S&P 500 P/E ratio of 17.7.
Warren Buffett Denies Tax Dodge BofA Deal
Warren Buffett Denies Tax Dodge BofA Deal : Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.B)has clarified that it will incur an effective tax rate of 14.175% on the $300 million in dividends that it will receive each year from Bank of America(BAC) and not 10.5% as stated in a Wall Street Journal editorial.
The company said that virtually all of the stocks that Berkshire owns are held in its property-casualty subsidiaries and the same will apply to the Bank of America preferred.
"The tax treatment for dividends paid by U.S. corporations to property-casualty insurance companies was materially changed by a law passed in 1986. The changes were described in detail in the chairman's letter included in Berkshire's 1986 annual report," the company said in a statement. "A minor change in rate was made in 1993. Since that time dividends that insurers receive from U.S. companies incur an effective tax rate of 14.175%. For Berkshire, that rate will apply to dividends it receives from Bank of America."
Berkshire Hathaway invested $5 billion in Bank of America preferred shares last week. The shares will have annual dividend of 6 %, payable in equal quarterly investments and is redeemable at any time at a 5% premium. source www.thestreet.com...
The company said that virtually all of the stocks that Berkshire owns are held in its property-casualty subsidiaries and the same will apply to the Bank of America preferred.
"The tax treatment for dividends paid by U.S. corporations to property-casualty insurance companies was materially changed by a law passed in 1986. The changes were described in detail in the chairman's letter included in Berkshire's 1986 annual report," the company said in a statement. "A minor change in rate was made in 1993. Since that time dividends that insurers receive from U.S. companies incur an effective tax rate of 14.175%. For Berkshire, that rate will apply to dividends it receives from Bank of America."
Berkshire Hathaway invested $5 billion in Bank of America preferred shares last week. The shares will have annual dividend of 6 %, payable in equal quarterly investments and is redeemable at any time at a 5% premium. source www.thestreet.com...
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Best Taxation of Convertible Preferred Dividends
Best Taxation of Convertible Preferred Dividends : There are two basic types of preferred stock you can issue: hybrid or traditional. The type of preferred stock you issue will have an impact on your tax treatment, and consequently on the tax that investors pay on the dividends they receive. Some preferred stock has a convertible attribute, which does not have an impact on taxes unless an investor chooses to convert his hybrid preferred stock to common shares.
Hybrid Preferred Stock
Hybrid preferred stock is part debt and part equity. It represents a debt obligation to the company, while providing stockholders with a percentage of equity ownership in the company. When you pay dividends on hybrid stock, you use pretax dollars, which reduces your taxable corporate income. If you own hybrid shares, your dividends will be taxed in the same way as bond interest, which is taxed as normal income.
Traditional Preferred Stock
Unlike hybrid preferred stock, traditional preferred stock does not mature, but the company can call it back, meaning that the company can buy it from stockholders at a fixed price. If you issue traditional preferred stock, dividends you pay come from after tax dollars, or from earnings after tax has already been paid. If you own traditional preferred stock, your dividends are taxed as dividend earnings, which are taxed at 15 percent or less, depending on your tax bracket.
Convertable Preferred Stock
Preferred stock, whether hybrid or traditional, can contain one or more attributes. One of these attributes is convertibility. If you issue preferred shares that are convertible, you give investors the right to convert shares into common stock. Most convertible stock can be converted after a set date at a specific share price. If you own convertible hybrid stock, you may be able to reduce your taxes by converting it into common stock, because common dividends are taxed at a lower rate for most people.
Required Holding Period
If you earn dividends on hybrid preferred stock, your dividends will be taxed at your normal tax rate. If you own traditional preferred stock, your dividends will be taxed at the reduced dividend tax rate, as long as you meet the holding requirements. In order to qualify for the lower dividend tax rate, you must hold your stock for at least 90 days after receiving a dividend. (source smallbusiness.chron.com )
Hybrid Preferred Stock
Hybrid preferred stock is part debt and part equity. It represents a debt obligation to the company, while providing stockholders with a percentage of equity ownership in the company. When you pay dividends on hybrid stock, you use pretax dollars, which reduces your taxable corporate income. If you own hybrid shares, your dividends will be taxed in the same way as bond interest, which is taxed as normal income.
Traditional Preferred Stock
Unlike hybrid preferred stock, traditional preferred stock does not mature, but the company can call it back, meaning that the company can buy it from stockholders at a fixed price. If you issue traditional preferred stock, dividends you pay come from after tax dollars, or from earnings after tax has already been paid. If you own traditional preferred stock, your dividends are taxed as dividend earnings, which are taxed at 15 percent or less, depending on your tax bracket.
Convertable Preferred Stock
Preferred stock, whether hybrid or traditional, can contain one or more attributes. One of these attributes is convertibility. If you issue preferred shares that are convertible, you give investors the right to convert shares into common stock. Most convertible stock can be converted after a set date at a specific share price. If you own convertible hybrid stock, you may be able to reduce your taxes by converting it into common stock, because common dividends are taxed at a lower rate for most people.
Required Holding Period
If you earn dividends on hybrid preferred stock, your dividends will be taxed at your normal tax rate. If you own traditional preferred stock, your dividends will be taxed at the reduced dividend tax rate, as long as you meet the holding requirements. In order to qualify for the lower dividend tax rate, you must hold your stock for at least 90 days after receiving a dividend. (source smallbusiness.chron.com )
Estimating Market Capitalization and Dividend Growth Rates
Estimating Market Capitalization and Dividend Growth Rates : Generally, investors buy common stocks for two reasons. Stocks typically offer investors a cash dividend, and they also have the potential to provide the investor with capital gains. In this publication, we will present a method for calculating stock prices based on a constant growth model, which uses a discounted cash flows approach.
Now that we have a simple formula to calculate a stock's price, we need to figure out how to calculate all of the individual variables in that formula. Specifically, we need to calculate the projected growth rate in dividends and the market capitalization rate (discount rate or expected return).
Estimating Dividend Growth Rates
An estimate of a company's dividend growth rate can be made by examining a company's projected earnings growth rate. This estimate assumes that the return on equity for a company and its payout ratio remain constant.
Dividend growth can then be estimated using the following calculation:
Dividend Growth (G) = Plowback Ratio x Return on Equity
Where:
* Plowback Ratio = 1 - Payout Ratio, and
* Payout Ratio = Dividends Paid / Earnings per Share, and
* Return on Equity = Earnings per Share / Book Equity per Share
All of these variables can be easily calculated when you're researching a stock. They are often calculated for you by many of the online stock research tools. We explain the significance of many of these variables in our article on financial ratios.
Sticking with our example, if Stock A has a payout ratio of 60%, which means they pay out 60% of earnings in terms of dividends, their plowback ratio is 1 - 60% or 40%. Let's also assume the company's return on equity is 10.0%. That means their estimated dividend growth rate is:
Dividend Growth (G) = 40% x 10% = 4.0%
Estimating Market Capitalization Rates
If we go back to our simplified stock price formula, we can use that same calculation to develop an estimate of the discount rate (or market capitalization rate). Rearranging this formula we have:
Discount Rate (R) = (Dividends (Div) / Stock Price (P0)) + Dividend Growth Rate (G)
If we are going to develop estimated prices for stocks, then we're going to need to figure out the proper discount rate (expected stockholder return), based on stocks of equivalent risk. That means we need to calculate the discount rate for stocks that are of equivalent risk to the one we're thinking about buying.
We've already discussed how the dividend growth rate can be calculated, so we only need to solve for this portion of the discount rate equation:
Dividends / Stock Price
Fortunately, this particular ratio is a commonly published stock ratio, and is known as the dividend yield. In this example, we are examining a stock of equivalent risk to Stock A. Let's assume that Stock B has:
* Dividend Yield of 7.0%
* Payout Ratio of 45%
* Return on Equity of 12%
First, solving for the dividend growth rate:
Dividend Growth (G) = 55% x 12% = 6.6%
Finally, solving for the discount rate:
Discount Rate (R) = 7.0% + 6.6% = 13.6%
We now have a method for calculating a stock's price based on some fundamental information about the stock itself, and information on stocks of equivalent risk. That is, we've explained how to calculate all of the variables in our stock pricing formula:
Stock Price = Div / (R - G)
Now that we have a simple formula to calculate a stock's price, we need to figure out how to calculate all of the individual variables in that formula. Specifically, we need to calculate the projected growth rate in dividends and the market capitalization rate (discount rate or expected return).
Estimating Dividend Growth Rates
An estimate of a company's dividend growth rate can be made by examining a company's projected earnings growth rate. This estimate assumes that the return on equity for a company and its payout ratio remain constant.
Dividend growth can then be estimated using the following calculation:
Dividend Growth (G) = Plowback Ratio x Return on Equity
Where:
* Plowback Ratio = 1 - Payout Ratio, and
* Payout Ratio = Dividends Paid / Earnings per Share, and
* Return on Equity = Earnings per Share / Book Equity per Share
All of these variables can be easily calculated when you're researching a stock. They are often calculated for you by many of the online stock research tools. We explain the significance of many of these variables in our article on financial ratios.
Sticking with our example, if Stock A has a payout ratio of 60%, which means they pay out 60% of earnings in terms of dividends, their plowback ratio is 1 - 60% or 40%. Let's also assume the company's return on equity is 10.0%. That means their estimated dividend growth rate is:
Dividend Growth (G) = 40% x 10% = 4.0%
Estimating Market Capitalization Rates
If we go back to our simplified stock price formula, we can use that same calculation to develop an estimate of the discount rate (or market capitalization rate). Rearranging this formula we have:
Discount Rate (R) = (Dividends (Div) / Stock Price (P0)) + Dividend Growth Rate (G)
If we are going to develop estimated prices for stocks, then we're going to need to figure out the proper discount rate (expected stockholder return), based on stocks of equivalent risk. That means we need to calculate the discount rate for stocks that are of equivalent risk to the one we're thinking about buying.
We've already discussed how the dividend growth rate can be calculated, so we only need to solve for this portion of the discount rate equation:
Dividends / Stock Price
Fortunately, this particular ratio is a commonly published stock ratio, and is known as the dividend yield. In this example, we are examining a stock of equivalent risk to Stock A. Let's assume that Stock B has:
* Dividend Yield of 7.0%
* Payout Ratio of 45%
* Return on Equity of 12%
First, solving for the dividend growth rate:
Dividend Growth (G) = 55% x 12% = 6.6%
Finally, solving for the discount rate:
Discount Rate (R) = 7.0% + 6.6% = 13.6%
We now have a method for calculating a stock's price based on some fundamental information about the stock itself, and information on stocks of equivalent risk. That is, we've explained how to calculate all of the variables in our stock pricing formula:
Stock Price = Div / (R - G)
how to calculate dividends per share of common stock
how to calculate dividends per share of common stock : Dividends can be defined as a small part of the earnings and profits that the company makes in a given period of time that is returned to the shareholders, depending upon the number of shares of the company that they hold. It is a kind of profit-sharing mechanism followed by companies to reward their shareholders for being an investor in the company.
The price per share of common stock can be calculated using several methods. Stock analysts use several methods to calculate price per share of many stocks using similar techniques for companies in the same industry
Instructions
* 1 Find stock quotes in the newspaper or online (see Resources). Always use the close price if it is after exchange hours or the last quote when trading during the day.
* 2 Consult a periodical, such as the "Value Line Investment Survey," to locate the book value. Compare book value, the historical P/E and the 3-to-5-year price projection. This shows the expected range in which the stock should trade, which will indicate whether the stock is trading above or below its long-term price.
* 3 Multiply the stock price by the number of shares outstanding. This is the capitalization of the company. Ignore stock options to employees and divide the stock price by the earnings per share. This is the multiple of the stock or a representation of the expected future earnings of the company. Estimate next year's earnings and multiply by the multiple to get next year's price estimate. Use this calculation for financial companies.
* 4 Multiply a company's earnings by its historical multiple (multiple is calculated by 100 multiplied by the expected next year earnings growth increase). A stock earning $1 this year and expected to earn $1.30 next year has a 30 percent growth rate and a multiple of 30. If the stock is at $20 this year, the stock should be at $39 next year, a gain of almost 100 percent.
* 5 For capital-intensive stocks, subtract all liabilities from the assets. The remainder is called book value. Divide book value by the number of shares to get book value per share. This represents the intrinsic value of the company as a going concern. Stocks that use large amounts of capital, such as car and steel companies, often trade as a percent of book value
What are the dividends per share of common stock?
If the company declared a dividend of $2,200.000 and the company has 55,000 shares of common stock outstanding.
A company can have preferred and common stock outstanding as well as "stock equivalents." Preferred stock usually has a guaranteed dividend and it may be more per share than common stock gets. So, knowing the number of common shares is only part of the equation. If there is no preferred stock or stock equivalents outstanding; then take the total dividend $2,200,000 and divide it by the 55,000 shares giving you $40 per share.
The price per share of common stock can be calculated using several methods. Stock analysts use several methods to calculate price per share of many stocks using similar techniques for companies in the same industry
Instructions
* 1 Find stock quotes in the newspaper or online (see Resources). Always use the close price if it is after exchange hours or the last quote when trading during the day.
* 2 Consult a periodical, such as the "Value Line Investment Survey," to locate the book value. Compare book value, the historical P/E and the 3-to-5-year price projection. This shows the expected range in which the stock should trade, which will indicate whether the stock is trading above or below its long-term price.
* 3 Multiply the stock price by the number of shares outstanding. This is the capitalization of the company. Ignore stock options to employees and divide the stock price by the earnings per share. This is the multiple of the stock or a representation of the expected future earnings of the company. Estimate next year's earnings and multiply by the multiple to get next year's price estimate. Use this calculation for financial companies.
* 4 Multiply a company's earnings by its historical multiple (multiple is calculated by 100 multiplied by the expected next year earnings growth increase). A stock earning $1 this year and expected to earn $1.30 next year has a 30 percent growth rate and a multiple of 30. If the stock is at $20 this year, the stock should be at $39 next year, a gain of almost 100 percent.
* 5 For capital-intensive stocks, subtract all liabilities from the assets. The remainder is called book value. Divide book value by the number of shares to get book value per share. This represents the intrinsic value of the company as a going concern. Stocks that use large amounts of capital, such as car and steel companies, often trade as a percent of book value
What are the dividends per share of common stock?
If the company declared a dividend of $2,200.000 and the company has 55,000 shares of common stock outstanding.
A company can have preferred and common stock outstanding as well as "stock equivalents." Preferred stock usually has a guaranteed dividend and it may be more per share than common stock gets. So, knowing the number of common shares is only part of the equation. If there is no preferred stock or stock equivalents outstanding; then take the total dividend $2,200,000 and divide it by the 55,000 shares giving you $40 per share.
Markets Are Rewarding Companies That Pay Dividends
Markets Are Rewarding Companies That Pay Dividends : Slow economic growth. Whipsawing volatility. In an environment like this, it is little wonder investors are piling into stocks with steady dividend payments.
Mutual funds specializing in dividend stocks have seen inflows of $12.6 billion so far this year, four times as much as in all of 2010—even as stock funds as a whole have posted outflows of nearly $25 billion, according to fund tracker Lipper.
But dividend stocks aren't a panacea—and buying them willy-nilly can lead to disappointment down the road. Dividend stocks are notorious laggards during big rallies, which often start when investors are most averse to risk. source online.wsj.com
Mutual funds specializing in dividend stocks have seen inflows of $12.6 billion so far this year, four times as much as in all of 2010—even as stock funds as a whole have posted outflows of nearly $25 billion, according to fund tracker Lipper.
But dividend stocks aren't a panacea—and buying them willy-nilly can lead to disappointment down the road. Dividend stocks are notorious laggards during big rallies, which often start when investors are most averse to risk. source online.wsj.com
best High Yielding Stocks to buy September 2011
best High Yielding Stocks to buy September 2011 : I screened some interesting high yield stocks with ex-dividend date within September 2011. As a result of my screening, I found 89 high yielding stocks paying forthcoming dividends and having ex-dividend within September 2011. The average yield amounts to 6.43 percent. Here is an overview of my favorites:
1. B&G Foods (BGS) is acting within the processed and packaged goods industry. The company has a market capitalization of USD 817.0 million, generates revenues in an amount of USD 527.9 million and a net income of USD 46.5 million. It follows, Price/Earnings ratio is 16.7, Price/Sales 1.6 and Price/Book ratio 3.4. Dividend Yield: 4.9 percent. Years of Consecutive Dividend Increasing: 0 Years. 5-Year Dividend Growth: 0 percent. The company paid dividends since 2007. Ex-Div. Date is on Sep-28-2011.
2. DTE Energy (DTE) is acting within the eclectic utility industry. The company has a market capitalization of USD 8.4 billion, generates revenues in an amount of USD 8.8 billion and a net income of USD 693.0 million. It follows, Price/Earnings ratio is 12.1, Price/Sales 1.0 and Price/Book ratio 1.2. Dividend Yield: 4.8 percent. Years of Consecutive Dividend Increasing: 1 Year. 5-Year Dividend Growth: 2.0 percent. The company paid dividends since 1909. Ex-Div. Date is on Sep-15-2011.
3. Reynolds American (RAI) is acting within the cigarette industry. The company has a market capitalization of USD 21.3 billion, generates revenues in an amount of USD 8.6 billion and a net income of USD 1.4 billion. It follows, Price/Earnings ratio is 15.9, Price/Sales 2.5 and Price/Book ratio 3.2. Dividend Yield: 5.8 percent. Years of Consecutive Dividend Increasing: 1 Year. 5-Year Dividend Growth: 11.1 percent. The company paid dividends since 2004. Ex-Div. Date is on Sep-08-2011.
1. B&G Foods (BGS) is acting within the processed and packaged goods industry. The company has a market capitalization of USD 817.0 million, generates revenues in an amount of USD 527.9 million and a net income of USD 46.5 million. It follows, Price/Earnings ratio is 16.7, Price/Sales 1.6 and Price/Book ratio 3.4. Dividend Yield: 4.9 percent. Years of Consecutive Dividend Increasing: 0 Years. 5-Year Dividend Growth: 0 percent. The company paid dividends since 2007. Ex-Div. Date is on Sep-28-2011.
2. DTE Energy (DTE) is acting within the eclectic utility industry. The company has a market capitalization of USD 8.4 billion, generates revenues in an amount of USD 8.8 billion and a net income of USD 693.0 million. It follows, Price/Earnings ratio is 12.1, Price/Sales 1.0 and Price/Book ratio 1.2. Dividend Yield: 4.8 percent. Years of Consecutive Dividend Increasing: 1 Year. 5-Year Dividend Growth: 2.0 percent. The company paid dividends since 1909. Ex-Div. Date is on Sep-15-2011.
3. Reynolds American (RAI) is acting within the cigarette industry. The company has a market capitalization of USD 21.3 billion, generates revenues in an amount of USD 8.6 billion and a net income of USD 1.4 billion. It follows, Price/Earnings ratio is 15.9, Price/Sales 2.5 and Price/Book ratio 3.2. Dividend Yield: 5.8 percent. Years of Consecutive Dividend Increasing: 1 Year. 5-Year Dividend Growth: 11.1 percent. The company paid dividends since 2004. Ex-Div. Date is on Sep-08-2011.
MDU Resources Group Inc Ex-Dividend Strategy September 6 2011
MDU Resources Group Inc Ex-Dividend Strategy September 6 2011 ; In the last month, the stock has decreased in price -4.68 %, with a one year change of 11.26%.
Compared to the S&P 500 price changes, the price performances are 4.68% vs. the S&P 500 from a month ago, and year to date difference is 8.35% vs. the S&P 500 price change.
MDU Resources Group, Inc. (MDU) Yield: 3.16%
Dividend Amount: $0.16
Ex-Dividend Date: September 6, 2011
Beta: 1.10
Strategy:
In combination with buying the stock, sell the $20.00 strike call for $0.35 over the intrinsic value. The option may get exercised early for a gain. If not, after qualifying for the dividend, offer to cover position with a premium of $0.32 over intrinsic value.
Compared to the S&P 500 price changes, the price performances are 4.68% vs. the S&P 500 from a month ago, and year to date difference is 8.35% vs. the S&P 500 price change.
MDU Resources Group, Inc. (MDU) Yield: 3.16%
Dividend Amount: $0.16
Ex-Dividend Date: September 6, 2011
Beta: 1.10
Strategy:
In combination with buying the stock, sell the $20.00 strike call for $0.35 over the intrinsic value. The option may get exercised early for a gain. If not, after qualifying for the dividend, offer to cover position with a premium of $0.32 over intrinsic value.
Ex-Dividend Stocks for September 6 2011
Ex-Dividend Stocks for September 6 2011 ; Daily Ex-Dividend Dates and Yields by Ex-Dividend Dates. Here is a current stock list of dividend shares with ex-dividend date on 9/6/2011. The average dividend-yield amounts to 1.05 percent.
The ex-dividend date is a major date related to the payment of dividends. If you purchase a stock on its ex-dividend date or later, you will not receive the next dividend payment. Instead, the seller gets the dividend. If you purchase before the ex-dividend date, you get the dividend.
he entire table was originally published one week in advance of the ex-dividend date, and will be updated when necessary. Yields are not annualized, and share prices are amended each time the table is revised.
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The ex-dividend date is a major date related to the payment of dividends. If you purchase a stock on its ex-dividend date or later, you will not receive the next dividend payment. Instead, the seller gets the dividend. If you purchase before the ex-dividend date, you get the dividend.
Symbol | Company | Yield | Last | Dividend(s) |
| AEE | Ameren Corporation | 1.29% | $29.94 | 0.385 |
| AIN | Albany International Corp. | 0.59% | $22.02 | 0.13 |
| CEC | CEC Entertainment, Inc. | 0.65% | $30.59 | 0.2 |
| CHL | China Mobile Ltd. (ADR) | 2.00% | $50.63 | 1.0132 |
| JKHY | Jack Henry & Associates, Inc. | 0.36% | $29.02 | 0.105 |
| MDU | MDU Resources Group, Inc. | 0.77% | $21.08 | 0.1625 |
| NEM | Newmont Mining Corporation | 0.48% | $62.15 | 0.3 |
| NRIM | Northrim BanCorp, Inc. | 0.67% | $19.41 | 0.13 |
| PDLI | PDL BioPharma Inc. | 2.52% | $5.95 | 0.15 |
| RGS | Regis Corporation | 0.41% | $14.80 | 0.06 |
| SDRL | SeaDrill Limited | 2.36% | $31.81 | 0.75 |
| SLH | Solera Holdings, Inc. | 0.17% | $58.18 | 0.1 |
| UVSP | Univest Corp. of PA | 1.34% | $14.92 | 0.2 |
| | | | | |
| Average | | 1.05% | | |
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